Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1217.828010 1382.077295 1564.117156 1781.499375 2034.879918 2321.914174 2673.129097
2025-09-28 928.900155 1136.213322 1387.050635 1715.530986 2138.210295 2669.049992 3394.486325
2025-10-05 819.163568 1054.440824 1356.838458 1779.419003 2363.348863 3154.721930 4330.841950
2025-10-12 730.827373 979.132029 1313.883567 1806.758010 2528.701117 3571.220176 5235.389982
2025-10-19 659.408741 913.505076 1270.119988 1819.127346 2664.935695 3956.476697 6154.689972
2025-10-26 601.732113 858.251078 1231.176824 1828.449558 2791.298849 4338.292945 7132.514768
2025-11-02 564.743225 827.732697 1222.937764 1880.123717 2986.759792 4855.118905 8434.416640
2025-11-09 529.366046 795.042402 1206.368362 1914.137773 3154.698637 5348.116369 9790.871302
2025-11-16 496.513781 762.410593 1185.433287 1936.602433 3303.271800 5827.000560 11218.385374
2025-11-23 467.667854 733.028592 1166.037019 1958.015734 3450.832577 6324.880352 12791.284513
2025-11-30 444.866089 711.165144 1156.441025 1994.574528 3630.114111 6911.695274 14689.725694
2025-12-07 409.449264 664.825076 1100.188014 1938.683921 3621.288720 7112.702426 15751.217033
2025-12-14 376.696926 621.042763 1045.600777 1882.040564 3607.855350 7311.874391 16885.287142
2025-12-21 345.458061 577.536301 987.875343 1813.396226 3561.276229 7433.235530 17863.602650
2025-12-28 336.096596 572.108468 998.958274 1881.497296 3814.790653 8281.480499 21004.044934
2026-01-04 322.408260 557.576018 991.481951 1910.675998 3986.633300 8969.199570 23907.536542
2026-01-11 307.953557 540.401095 977.271440 1923.878092 4123.688144 9597.177729 26833.734787
2026-01-18 294.335345 523.703170 962.423779 1933.828625 4254.367566 10234.476118 30002.383981
2026-01-25 286.560632 517.568772 967.937800 1988.995494 4503.342825 11240.772360 34764.318913
2026-02-01 277.348334 507.877332 965.288581 2025.317588 4710.801410 12176.952496 39647.583989
2026-02-08 267.576440 496.319588 957.720823 2049.310450 4890.198644 13071.950201 44746.555618
2026-02-15 258.357585 485.188623 950.068767 2072.183255 5070.445644 14011.455846 50433.879012
2026-02-22 251.091441 477.515464 949.150041 2111.240145 5301.925755 15168.481945 57584.469398